What are the permutations for Donegal and Division One of the Allianz National Football League as we head to Castleblaney for the final game of the series on Sunday next?
Donegal are presently in fourth place in the table, ahead of Cork by virtue of the head-to-head and also on scoring difference
But despite that they are not mathematically safe from relegation, although it would take an awful lot of cards to fall against them for Donegal to drop to Division Two.
To look at it from a positive point of view, a win for Donegal would not alone ensure safety, but would almost certainly guaranteeDonegal a place in the National League semi-finals. Indeed, if Cork lost to Kerry, there is a very strong possibility that Donegal will make the semi-final on six points.
The full list of permutations are:
FOR DONEGAL TO STAY IN DIVISION ONE
* Donegal to secure a draw or win in Castleblaney
* Avoid defeat by 13 points by Monaghan
* Cork to lose to Kerry
* Mayo to win against Down by wide margin which can only
be calculated after the result in Castleblaney is known.
FOR DONEGAL TO GET RELEGATED
* Donegal need to lose in Monaghan by 13 points and at
same time Mayo need to win by 13 points against Down
and Cork need to get at least a draw against Kerry
The bottom line for Donegal is to win or draw in Castleblaney and leave the calculations between the other three teams - Cork, Mayo and Monaghan.
DIVISION 1 RESULTS SO FAR
Round 1: Dublin 2-14 Kerry 0-14: Donegal 3-15 Down 0-7; Cork 1-18 Mayo 0-12; Monaghan 2-10 Roscommon 1-9.
Round 2: Dublin 0-9 Mayo 0-7; Roscommon 0-14 Kerry 1-10; Donegal 2-14 Cork 1-7; Monaghan 0-13 Down 0-11.
Round 3: Dublin 1-14 Monaghan 0-16; Roscommon 4-25 Cork 3-10; Donegal 1-14 Mayo 1-12; Kerry 0-22 Down 0-6.
Round 4: Dublin 2-14 Cork 2-10; Roscommon 1-12 Down 0-6; Kerry 1-13 Donegal 1-8; Mayo 2-11 Monaghan 1-12.
Round 5: Dublin 1-15 Down 1-7; Cork 1-20 Monaghan 1-13; Kerry 2-13 Mayo 0-14; Roscommon 1-19 Donegal 0-17.
Round 6: Dublin 1-10 Donegal 0-7; Cork 0-12 Down 0-7; Kerry 1-17 Monaghan 1-9; Mayo 1-11 Roscommon 1-7
Round 7: Apr 3: Kerry v Cork; Mayo v Down; Monaghan v Donegal; Roscommon v Dublin.
THE GAMES: Roscommon host Dublin, whom they haven’t played in the Allianz Football League since 2008 when they lost by 3-20 to 0-7 in Division 2. It’s Kerry v Cork in Tralee in yet another instalment of a great rivalry. Kerry are seeking their first Allianz Football League win over Cork since 2013, having lost heavily in 2014 (2-18 to 1-11) and 2015 (3-17 to 2-9). Kerry beat Cork in the both the 2014 and 2015 championships. Monaghan v Donegal is a repeat of last year’s Ulster final which Monaghan won by a point. Monaghan also beat Donegal (two points) in last year’s Allianz Football League. Down and Mayo meet in the Allianz League for the first time since 2013, when the Ulstermen won by two points.
Semi-finals: Apr 10: 1 v 4; 2 v 3.
Final: Apr 24